I'm in pretty much the same boat. There is very little I know for sure and I too have far more questions than answers.
....
Then you are no fool, for Tyl Eulenspiegel the trickster of Germanic folklore said: "There is no greater fool than someone who thinks himself clever." I came across that just a couple days ago.
Tricksters are a seemingly universal feature of "primitive" societies. In the most "primitive" of societies--band societies, such as that of the San Bushmen--even the gods make mistakes and are sometimes the butt of jokes. Seems to me that this is the most realistic outlook.
The trickster outlook was echoed by Socrates, who whenever questioned about his judgment on a matter of debate, apparently used to say that he knew nothing for certain, and instead would ask questions of the questioner which eventually resulted in the questioner answering his own question. Plato's writes in his
Republic: "Behold...the wisdom of Socrates; he refuses to teach himself, and goes about learning of others...."
My understanding is that Karl Popper added a corollary to this (or perhaps borrowed it form someone else) to the effect of "I only know what I don't know," or "I only know what the existing evidence does NOT support." (These are rough inklings from my memory that could be off).
I am also a great fan of the outlook and work of Nassim Taleb, in part because he is a fellow fan of Socrates and Popper. Taleb further builds on the insights of Socrates and Popper with his "causal opacity" in which "we are limited in our ability to ferret out causes or in confirming our error rate in causal inference," as evidenced by the terrible track record of "experts" who try to do so.
It seems to me that the trickster spirit of hunter-gatherer mythology, Socrates, Plato, and Taleb all recognize that seeking final, absolute answers is a futile quest. Instead, we use the tools at our disposal to question, investigate and experiment. The end result of our questions is more questions.
[Addendum: And wouldn't you know it, in re-acquainting myself with Popper, I quickly find someone who attempts to shoot Popper's falsification approach to ribbons:
Martin Sewell, "Popper's Falsification,"
http://science.martinsewell.com/falsification.htmlI'd be interested in people's opinions on Sewell's points.]